Agri Blog

Estimates for upcoming WASDE 8/7/2024

USDA WASDE AUG 12 2024
USDA JUL ESTAVG of ESTRange of ESTUSDA JUN EST
Corn Production15.12414.920-15.30015.100
Yield182.200180.1-184.0181.000
Harvested AreaN/AN/A83.400
U.S. Ending Stocks 23/241.8761.825-1.9541.877
U.S. Ending Stocks 24/252.1191.897-2.3002.097
World Ending Stocks 23/24N/AN/A309.130
World Ending Stocks 24/25311.500307.0-315.0311.640
Soy Production4.4724.380-4.5654.435
Yield52.50051.5-53.952.000
Harvested AreaN/AN/A85.300
U.S. Ending Stocks 23/240.3500.341-0.3650.345
U.S. Ending Stocks 24/250.4670.380-0.5550.435
World Ending Stocks 23/24N/AN/A111.250
World Ending Stocks 24/25128.300125.6-130.5127.900
US Production & Wheat Stocks
All Wheat Production2.0171.982-2.0582.008
All Winter Production1.3461.329-1.3711.341
Hard Red Winter0.7660.755-0.7880.763
Soft Red Winter0.3450.340-0.3540.344
White Winter0.2340.224-0.2400.234
U.S. Ending Stocks 23/24N/AN/A0.702
U.S. Ending Stocks 24/250.8590.815-0.8890.856
World Ending Stocks 23/24N/AN/A260.990
World Ending Stocks 24/25257.000253.0-260.0257.240
USDA South America Crop Production
Brazil Corn 23/24121.500120.0-122.0122.000
Brazil Corn 24/25N/AN/A127.000
Brazil Soybeans 23/24151.800149.0-153.0153.000
Brazil Soybeans 24/25N/AN/A169.000
Argentina Corn 23/2451.00048.0-52.052.000
Argentina Corn 24/25N/AN/A51.000
Argentina Soybeans 23/2449.60048.5-50.549.500
Argentina Soybeans 24/25N/AN/A51.000


Disclaimer: The risk of loss in Commodity Interest trading is substantial. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any content presented should be viewed as a solicitation and an inducement to conduct business with AgOptimus. Market information presented is believed to be accurate as of the time of publication. Trading and investment decisions should be made at your own risk and only with risk capital. Be advised the views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the current views or positions of AgOptimus and are subject to change at any time.

RECENT POSTS

How and Why Margin Calls Occur: A Producer’s Guide to Liquidity

TL;DR — The AgOptimus Executive Summary The Reality: Margin calls are liquidity events, not penalties. They occur because futures markets settle daily, while physical crops sell seasonally. The Mismatch: A margin call does not mean a hedge is failing. It often means...

How to Pick the Right Hedge Month for Your Cattle

TL;DR — How to Pick the Right Hedge Month for Your Cattle Match your hedge month to when cattle will likely finish, not when the board looks best today. Weather, health, and feed performance influence finish dates — build flexibility into your plan. If cattle slip or...

Cattle on Feed Report Explained for Cattle Feeders

TL;DR The USDA Cattle on Feed (COF) report drives cattle futures because it reveals real supply: placements, marketings, and on-feed inventory. What matters isn’t the number itself—but how it compares to pre-report estimates. Heavy placements → bearish. Light...

How to Trade Futures Cattle Spreads for Hedging

Futures Cattle Spreads TL;DR A cattle spread is the price difference between two futures months; some feeders trade this difference, not the outright price. Spreads move because of real cattle fundamentals — carcass weights, placements, seasonal flows, packer demand,...