Agri Blog

June 7, 2024: International Grain Update and Weather Update

– Wheat, corn, and soybean futures are down overnight and for the week

– Year-to-date, most crop futures are down except HRW wheat

– Chinese and Malaysian palm oil futures are up

– No major changes in futures open interest or registrations

– Weather outlook:

    – Northern Plains: Drier through the weekend, patchy rainfall early next week

    – Central/Southern Plains: Showers and storms Friday into early next week

    – Midwest: Drier pattern allowing for remaining planting and replanting

    – Delta: Drier through next week with mild temperatures

    – Canadian Prairies: Mostly dry with improved soil moisture

    – Brazil: Dry and unfavorable for immature safrinha corn, early harvest started

    – Argentina: Dry, unfavorable for winter wheat planting and establishment

– Funds: Net sellers of wheat and soybeans; buyers of corn, soymeal, and soyoil

– Various international tenders and purchases of corn, wheat, and barley

– U.S. Gulf Coast basis bids mostly steady to weaker for corn, steady to higher for soybeans

– U.S. Midwest basis bids mostly steady for corn and soybeans

– Hard red winter wheat basis unchanged; protein premiums up for some grades

– Surveys show expectations for U.S. and global ending stocks, production, and exports

– China’s May soybean imports down 15% year-on-year, but up from April

– Surprise tax change in Brazil upends crop trading as top traders withdraw offers

Disclaimer: The risk of loss in Commodity Interest trading is substantial. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any content presented should be viewed as a solicitation and an inducement to conduct business with AgOptimus. Market information presented is believed to be accurate as of the time of publication. Trading and investment decisions should be made at your own risk and only with risk capital. Be advised the views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the current views or positions of AgOptimus and are subject to change at any time.

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