📉 Cattle Bull Markets – And What May Come Next
🐄 Live Cattle: History Repeats?
Top-to-bottom breaks:
- 1979: $80 → $51 (▼37%)
- 2008: $112 → $78 (▼29%)
- 2014: $171+ → $98.50 (▼42%)
📊 Avg. Break: ▼$45 or 36%
👉 From current levels, that implies a potential drop of $75, targeting the low $130s.
(opinion)
🐂 Feeder Cattle: Even More Volatile
Top-to-bottom breaks:
- 1979: $91.60 → $59 (▼37%)
- 2008: $119 → $88 (▼26%)
- 2014: $244 → $112 (▼54%)
📊 Avg. Break: ▼$65 or 38%
👉 From today’s price, that points to a $109 drop, bringing us toward the $180 zone.
Takeaway:
Strong bull runs in cattle are often followed by sharp, deep breaks. History doesn’t always repeat—but it often rhymes.
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Source: Bauman Commodity Consulting.
