Agri Blog

AM Ag Update June 13, 2024

USDA Report:


– Corn comes in at 114m metric tons above USDA estimate
– US winter wheat production raised 17m bushels to 1.295b bushels
– Brazilian soybean production lowered 1m metric tons to 153m metric tons

Market Figures:

– Hog guild born and at 1000, down about 12,000. From live, we could go at this point.
– Daily carcass at 9901 averages, by the average 194.
– Export sales: 42m bu corn, 14m bu soybeans, 3m bu new crop corn
– Cattle at 123k kill (same as last week)
– CME lean hog index down 20 cents, pork cutout down 36 cents
– Hog weights up over last year

Fed Meeting:


– Left rates at 5.25-5.5%
– PPI increase of 1.2% surprised forecasts of 0.1%
– Jobless claims of 147k below 222k forecast
– September rate cut odds increased to 70% from 63%

Fundamentals:


– Corn, soybean acres may be lower and could change by 0.5m acres
– Cattle futures spreads bearish, hog spreads narrowing
– Watch Mexican hog purchases potentially drop from early 2022 levels

Disclaimer: The risk of loss in Commodity Interest trading is substantial. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any content presented should be viewed as a solicitation and an inducement to conduct business with AgOptimus. Market information presented is believed to be accurate as of the time of publication. Trading and investment decisions should be made at your own risk and only with risk capital. Be advised the views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the current views or positions of AgOptimus and are subject to change at any time.

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