Agri Blog

AG Update: June 25th

Cocoa:
– September futures support at 7000, May low support at 6418
– Ivory Coast crop 22% behind 5-year average for this time

Coffee:
– September futures resistance at 238.70, upside objective at 261.30, support at 225.40

Cotton:
– US crop progress report showed 26% of crop in good-excellent condition, Texas was 49%

Grains:
– Acreage report estimate for Friday is 10.89m corn acres planted, 10.673m in March, 10.23m last year. Estimate is 3-400k fewer soybean acres
– July corn futures support at yesterday’s low of 443
– November soybean futures support at yesterday’s low of 1111 1/4

Disclaimer: The risk of loss in Commodity Interest trading is substantial. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any content presented should be viewed as a solicitation and an inducement to conduct business with AgOptimus. Market information presented is believed to be accurate as of the time of publication. Trading and investment decisions should be made at your own risk and only with risk capital. Be advised the views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the current views or positions of AgOptimus and are subject to change at any time.

RECENT POSTS

How and Why Margin Calls Occur: A Producer’s Guide to Liquidity

TL;DR — The AgOptimus Executive Summary The Reality: Margin calls are liquidity events, not penalties. They occur because futures markets settle daily, while physical crops sell seasonally. The Mismatch: A margin call does not mean a hedge is failing. It often means...

How to Pick the Right Hedge Month for Your Cattle

TL;DR — How to Pick the Right Hedge Month for Your Cattle Match your hedge month to when cattle will likely finish, not when the board looks best today. Weather, health, and feed performance influence finish dates — build flexibility into your plan. If cattle slip or...

Cattle on Feed Report Explained for Cattle Feeders

TL;DR The USDA Cattle on Feed (COF) report drives cattle futures because it reveals real supply: placements, marketings, and on-feed inventory. What matters isn’t the number itself—but how it compares to pre-report estimates. Heavy placements → bearish. Light...

How to Trade Futures Cattle Spreads for Hedging

Futures Cattle Spreads TL;DR A cattle spread is the price difference between two futures months; some feeders trade this difference, not the outright price. Spreads move because of real cattle fundamentals — carcass weights, placements, seasonal flows, packer demand,...