Agri Blog

Ag Update, July 5th

Cocoa:
– Cocoa prices broke out of a 5-6 day consolidation range on Wednesday

Coffee:
– Brazilian real fell to its lowest level since March 2023 on Tuesday, but reversed on Wednesday

Cotton:
– 53% of the southeastern US was in moderate to severe drought as of last week, up from 38% the previous week
– 16% to 20% of the South, including the Texas Delta, was in drought
– Cotton export sales were 172,300 bales, up from 150,190 the previous week but below the 4-week average of 251,600 bales
– China was the largest buyer at 94,000 bales

Sugar:
– Sugar prices reached a 32% retracement of the sell-off from the November high to the main low, with the next upside objective at 21.55 cents/lb

Energy:
– Crude oil stocks fell 2.2 million barrels last week, more than the expected 700,000 barrel decline
– Gasoline stocks fell 2.2 million barrels versus an expected 1.3 million barrel decline
– Distillate stocks fell 1.5 million barrels versus an expected 1.2 million barrel decline
– Refinery utilization was 93.5% versus an expected 92.9%
– Implied gasoline demand was 9.94 million barrels per day, the highest since last November

Natural Gas:
– Natural gas storage increased by 32 BCF, higher than the expected 22-25 BCF build
– Storage is up 9.6% from a year ago and 18.8% above the 5-year average

Employment:
– Non-farm payrolls increased 206,000 in June, compared to an expected 189,000
– Private payrolls increased 136,000, compared to an expected 160,000
– Unemployment rate was 4.1%, compared to an expected 4.0%
– Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% as expected

Livestock:
– Cattle slaughter was 353,000 head, the same as the previous week
– Hog slaughter was lighter than the previous week, but still heavier than a year ago
– Hog exports were 59,100 metric tons, up 51% from the previous week and 96% from the 4-week average
– Mexico was the largest buyer of hogs at 34,600 metric tons

Disclaimer: The risk of loss in Commodity Interest trading is substantial. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any content presented should be viewed as a solicitation and an inducement to conduct business with AgOptimus. Market information presented is believed to be accurate as of the time of publication. Trading and investment decisions should be made at your own risk and only with risk capital. Be advised the views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the current views or positions of AgOptimus and are subject to change at any time.

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