
Commitments of Traders
⏱ Read the clock before the numbers. These positions were frozen at Tuesday’s close and released Friday — already a few days old. They show where the crowd was, not where it is today.
This week we put Managed Money — the big speculative funds — front and center, because that’s the crowd whose positioning matters most to producers. The bar on each market shows the 52-week rank: how extreme the funds’ current position is against the past year. A rank near 52 means they’re as far out on that limb as they’ve been all year; a rank near the middle means it’s closer to normal. Commercials (producers + swap dealers, the hedgers) are shown as context.
The bigger picture this week
Isolating Managed Money changes a couple of the headlines. In the grains, the funds are leaning bearish corn and trimming a soybean long, but neither sits at a 52-week extreme — there’s room to run either way. Wheat is effectively flat. The real story is in the meats: lean hogs stand out, with the funds at a 52-week short extreme (rank 52) and pressing it further, while feeder cattle show a crowded long building (rank 43).
The cautionary tale is live cattle: the funds hold a large +126K long that looks crowded on the raw number, but a 52-week rank of just 17 says it’s middle-of-the-range, not extreme. That’s exactly why the rank matters — a big number isn’t the same as a crowded one.
The 52-week rank answers the question the raw net number can’t: is this position actually extreme, or just normal noise? Read it as a snapshot of where the funds were last Tuesday — weigh it against your own breakeven, basis, and close-out window, and treat a genuine extreme as a reason to watch your own exposure, not as a forecast.
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Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders (disaggregated), week ending June 23, 2026. Managed Money = the large speculative funds. Commercials shown = Producer/Merchant net + Swap Dealer net. 52-week rank shows where the current Managed Money net position falls within the past year (1 = least extreme, 52 = most extreme for the period shown). Open interest reflects total reported contracts. Futures and options trading involve substantial risk and are not suitable for everyone. Past positioning is not indicative of future results. This material is provided for general information and is the opinion of Ag Optimus; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell any contract. All trading decisions remain yours. Please check COT reports to verify for your own accuracy.